Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

UNLV +155 ML over Boise State

Friday, December 5th, 2025T

Albertsons Stadium – Boise, ID

Mountain West Conference Championship

8:00 PM ET. This starts with the reputational weight that Boise State still carries. When the Broncos reach a conference championship, bettors instinctively assume they will rise to the moment. They have long been treated like the Alabama of the mid-majors, synonymous with big-game success and big-game pricing. That is why Boise is laying points here—not because of what they have done in 2025, but because of who they used to be and the mythos surrounding the program.

UNLV, meanwhile, is being dismissed. Their résumé is full of high-wire escapes—narrow wins over Air Force, Idaho State (FCS opponent), Miami (OH), and Utah State. Add the bizarre metric-based tiebreak scenario that ushered them into this game, and many have framed UNLV as the accidental finalist. But that is where the value lies, because the number the market hung does not match the public perception. Boise State was a 13-point favorite at home in the first meeting and won by 25. Yet in the rematch on the Smurf Turf with the title on the line, the spread is significantly shorter. A full 10 points to be precise and that is with home field also factored in. That signals one thing: the oddsmakers believe this is not the same matchup and not the same UNLV taking the field.

The Rebels' offense remains the X-factor. Their explosiveness forces opponents into track meets, and Boise State has not consistently demonstrated the defensive reliability required to smother a team like this for four quarters. When you strip away the historical brand names and evaluate only 2025 performance, UNLV has every bit the capability to win this outright. This is a live dog with a puncher’s chance, and the market’s pricing is the subtle clue that reinforces it. Rebels outright.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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