Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

BYU +12.5 over Texas Tech (Neutral Site Field)

Saturday, December 6th, 2025

AT&T Stadium – Arlington, TX

Big 12 Championship

12:00 PM ET. Texas Tech has been one of the most profitable teams in the country this season, and that alone makes this line dangerous. Whether you go by the opening numbers or the closing consensus, the Red Raiders have been a cash cow at every turn, sitting at either 10–2 ATS or 11–1–1 ATS, and by some measures a perfect 12–0 ATS relative to the opening price. That type of success always inflates a team’s perception, particularly in a championship-type setting where the public is conditioned to trust the “sure thing.” And in the last two weeks, Tech has taken back-to-back wins by 39 and 49 points as 24-point favorites, further feeding the idea that they are an unstoppable machine.

But now the market posts nearly the identical number that Tech covered against BYU in the first meeting—Tech won 29–7 in Lubbock, laying essentially this same spread. That should immediately raise alarms. You rarely see oddsmakers invite bettors to “auto-play” a side unless they’re expecting the opposite result. And as we know, beating the same team twice in the same season is notoriously difficult, even more so when the first meeting was lopsided. In the NFL, divisional opponents split all the time for this very reason: adjustments, familiarity, and regression.

BYU’s path to competing here is obvious. In the first matchup, the Cougars committed three turnovers, while Texas Tech committed zero, and all three giveaways became points the other way. That is pure variance, not dominance. Remove even one of those mistakes and the entire complexion of that game changes.

Now, BYU gets Tech on a neutral field in Arlington, albeit much closer to Lubbock than Provo but still not a true road game, and with a playoff bid still on the table, this becomes a fully motivated outfit with a different disposition compared to the first go-around. Upset potential is absolutely on the table, but with nearly two touchdowns, the Cougars are the play.   

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

UNLV +155 ML over Boise State

Friday, December 5th, 2025T

Albertsons Stadium – Boise, ID

Mountain West Conference Championship

8:00 PM ET. This starts with the reputational weight that Boise State still carries. When the Broncos reach a conference championship, bettors instinctively assume they will rise to the moment. They have long been treated like the Alabama of the mid-majors, synonymous with big-game success and big-game pricing. That is why Boise is laying points here—not because of what they have done in 2025, but because of who they used to be and the mythos surrounding the program.

UNLV, meanwhile, is being dismissed. Their résumé is full of high-wire escapes—narrow wins over Air Force, Idaho State (FCS opponent), Miami (OH), and Utah State. Add the bizarre metric-based tiebreak scenario that ushered them into this game, and many have framed UNLV as the accidental finalist. But that is where the value lies, because the number the market hung does not match the public perception. Boise State was a 13-point favorite at home in the first meeting and won by 25. Yet in the rematch on the Smurf Turf with the title on the line, the spread is significantly shorter. A full 10 points to be precise and that is with home field also factored in. That signals one thing: the oddsmakers believe this is not the same matchup and not the same UNLV taking the field.

The Rebels' offense remains the X-factor. Their explosiveness forces opponents into track meets, and Boise State has not consistently demonstrated the defensive reliability required to smother a team like this for four quarters. When you strip away the historical brand names and evaluate only 2025 performance, UNLV has every bit the capability to win this outright. This is a live dog with a puncher’s chance, and the market’s pricing is the subtle clue that reinforces it. Rebels outright.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

TULANE +115 ML over North Texas

Friday, December 5th, 2025

Yulman Stadium – New Orleans, LA

American Athletic Conference Championship

8:00 PM ET. On the surface, it feels counterintuitive to step in front of a North Texas team that has been nothing short of a betting juggernaut. The Mean Green are 10–2 ATS, winners and covers in six straight, and during this streak they have turned every opponent into roadkill. Since their infamous 63–36 loss to South Florida in early October, North Texas has averaged video-game numbers on offense and has obliterated the spread by margins rarely seen this deep into the season. We are talking about blowouts exceeding 30 points in four of these last six wins while covering lines routinely priced between -18 and -25 with breathing room. UNT has dumped 50+ points in five of those six victories too. You do not see runs like this often. And that is exactly the point. Teams that crush every number laid in front of them do not sustain it forever—especially when they step into a conference championship game, where the market sharpens and regression becomes more likely. If there was ever a spot where a correction could hit, this is it.

Tulane, meanwhile, is the forgotten commodity simply because they have not been lighting up the scoreboard or cashing tickets with the same flash (6–6 ATS). But peel deeper and this Green Wave team is battle-tested and extremely capable. Their only two losses all season were to Ole Miss—who made the playoff—and to UTSA in a game where expectations may have swallowed them whole. Other than that, they have beaten two teams of real substance: Memphis on the road when Memphis was ranked, and Duke, a team playing for the ACC title.

Most importantly, Tulane is at home. And the fact that they are a home underdog in a conference championship game—there is immense value with the Squids here on that basis alone. But it is deeper than that. North Texas is spotting a tag here because their profile is inflated off an unsustainably profitable run, and Tulane is the undervalued side hiding in plain sight.

North Texas deserves credit for its heater, but that heater is precisely why this price exists. Tulane hasn’t lost at home this season, and they will not be intimidated by the Mean Green one bit. Green Wave outright.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

Miami Ohio +110 ML over Western Michigan (Neutral Site Field)

Saturday, December 6, 2005

Ford Field – Detroit, MI Mid-American Conference Championship

12:00 PM ET. The MAC Championship gives us a matchup where the market sentiment is as loud as the on-field production. Western Michigan enters this game having won eight of its last nine, and more importantly for perception, the Broncos are 6-2-1 against the spread during that streak. Week after week, bettors see Western Michigan on the board, line up to back them, and walk away with winning tickets. That type of momentum creates a gravitational pull — it convinces the market masses that the Broncos must simply be the right side again. That’s precisely when the brakes need to be slammed.

Miami of Ohio enters as the quieter team, and intentionally so. Yes, the RedHawks just handled Ball State easily as a 17-point favorite and hammered Buffalo the week before, but those wins will not shape the narrative this week. What will shape it is the memory of last year’s MAC title game, when Miami walked into this exact setting and got steamrolled by Ohio. The market remembers that. The instinct becomes: fade Miami, ride the hot hand with WMU.

But here is the reality — for all the acclaim Western Michigan has picked up over the past month and a half, they are still laying less than a field goal in the conference championship against a team that, despite its blemishes, has shown a much higher ceiling. The line is telling us that Miami is absolutely live.

Miami of Ohio also enters in a classic bounce-back program spot: a chance to right last year’s humiliation and reclaim legitimacy in the MAC. Their blowout loss against Toledo and their defeat at Ohio will be used as ammunition against them, but this is a reset point. Western Michigan, riding peak market confidence, is at maximum inflation in terms of pricing while the Hawks are not so much. This is where the opportunity emerges. Hawks take home the chip.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

Duke +145 ML over Virginia (Neutral Site Field)

Saturday, December 6th, 2025

Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, NC

ACC Championship

8:00 PM ET. When you look at this matchup on the surface, the easy reaction is to grab Virginia and move on. The Cavaliers are ranked inside the top 15, they’re 10–2, and they already handled Duke comfortably back in mid-November, winning 34–17 in Durham as a five-point underdog. That result alone will convince most bettors that Virginia is the superior side and should be trusted to close the deal in the ACC Championship. But the line tells a very different story. On a neutral field, the oddsmakers are only asking Virginia to lay a very small number, effectively signaling that Duke is far closer to Virginia’s level than the first meeting suggests.

When you dig deeper, the signal becomes even louder. Virginia’s résumé is littered with landmines. The Cavaliers are 3–0 in overtime this season — three separate games that could have easily gone in the loss column. Flip even one of those, and Virginia is not ranked where they are, and the playoff chatter surrounding them could be muted. Add in the fact that they narrowly escaped Washington State 22–21 in a game that easily could have ended differently, and we are looking at a team that has ridden a wave of close-game fortune rather than outright supremacy. The market sees it, even if the rankings do not.

Duke, meanwhile, can throw the College Football Playoff into complete chaos. A Blue Devils upset here could realistically take the ACC out of the playoff entirely unless every single domino falls perfectly for Miami to sneak in. This is exactly the kind of championship-week setup where the unexpected tends to occur — a ranked team laying a short number against a supposedly inferior opponent it has already beaten. Historically, these are the moments where the market catches up. Duke enters playing with house money, and is positioned in the very role where chaos usually erupts.

Virginia if the luck and theatrics run out, could be sitting with the bag in hand. We’re backing the Blue Devils to cause a stir. Dukies for the win.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

Indiana +185 ML over Ohio State (Neutral Site Field)

Saturday, December 6th, 2025

Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN

B1G Championship

8:00 PM ET. Ohio State comes in undefeated, the defending national champion, and has been the single best point-spread team in America at 10-1-1 ATS. Last week, they were a heavily backed public side at Michigan and rewarded bettors again with a 27–9 victory. With that level of success comes something predictable: inflation. The Buckeyes have been covering at a clip all season, and every week the market pushes their price upward because the public expects another blowout. Eventually, that expectation creates an overlay, and we’re at that point now.

The chatter from media circles only amplifies the problem. Some analysts have seriously floated the idea of Ohio State vs. the field as a bet for the College Football Playoff, which tells you how heavily the sentiment is skewed. Ohio State has also won the last 10 meetings between these two parties and the Hoosiers have not beaten Ohio State in recent memory. That fuels the fervour further. Brand bias is a reality here – in a match-up of this significance though IU is undefeated, they are viewed as Target while the Buckeyes are Nordstrom’s. But that is also factored into the number too.

Yet, despite everything we mentioned, Ohio State is not even trusted to beat Indiana by a touchdown. The number is glaring and the message behind the line is clear—oddsmakers believe Indiana can compete here, and the possibility of an upset is very real. We’ll go no further, we are taking the Hoosiers outright to punctuate championship weekend.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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