Posted at 11:00 AM ET, Wednesday, Dec 3. Odds are subject to change

Duke +145 ML over Virginia (Neutral Site Field)

Saturday, December 6th, 2025

Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, NC

ACC Championship

8:00 PM ET. When you look at this matchup on the surface, the easy reaction is to grab Virginia and move on. The Cavaliers are ranked inside the top 15, they’re 10–2, and they already handled Duke comfortably back in mid-November, winning 34–17 in Durham as a five-point underdog. That result alone will convince most bettors that Virginia is the superior side and should be trusted to close the deal in the ACC Championship. But the line tells a very different story. On a neutral field, the oddsmakers are only asking Virginia to lay a very small number, effectively signaling that Duke is far closer to Virginia’s level than the first meeting suggests.

When you dig deeper, the signal becomes even louder. Virginia’s résumé is littered with landmines. The Cavaliers are 3–0 in overtime this season — three separate games that could have easily gone in the loss column. Flip even one of those, and Virginia is not ranked where they are, and the playoff chatter surrounding them could be muted. Add in the fact that they narrowly escaped Washington State 22–21 in a game that easily could have ended differently, and we are looking at a team that has ridden a wave of close-game fortune rather than outright supremacy. The market sees it, even if the rankings do not.

Duke, meanwhile, can throw the College Football Playoff into complete chaos. A Blue Devils upset here could realistically take the ACC out of the playoff entirely unless every single domino falls perfectly for Miami to sneak in. This is exactly the kind of championship-week setup where the unexpected tends to occur — a ranked team laying a short number against a supposedly inferior opponent it has already beaten. Historically, these are the moments where the market catches up. Duke enters playing with house money, and is positioned in the very role where chaos usually erupts.

Virginia if the luck and theatrics run out, could be sitting with the bag in hand. We’re backing the Blue Devils to cause a stir. Dukies for the win.

For straight bets, if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.

For parlays and Same Game Parlays, if a team you have backed goes 5 runs ahead, this selection will be marked as won within My Bets, with the remaining selections left to run.

Here is a wager we were paid out early on that would eventually lose. 

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