Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Texas +6½ -110 over Florida 

7:00 PM EST While No. 7 Florida Gators come in with the better overall record and national ranking, the market is pricing this matchup as if there’s a clear separation between the teams. Texas is 12-3 on its home floor this season, averaging 85.1 points per game and outscoring opponents by nearly 10 points per contest. That kind of production in Austin makes plus the points especially attractive, particularly in a conference game where familiarity tends to shrink margins.

Florida’s résumé is impressive — 12-2 in SEC play and undefeated in games decided by double digits — but those trends can inflate a road number. The Gators average 86.4 points per game, yet Texas shoots over 51% from the field across its last 10 outings and has multiple scoring threats capable of matching runs. Dailyn Swain’s recent surge, averaging over 21 points in the past 10 games, gives the Longhorns a go-to option who can create his own offense late in the clock. Florida’s defense has been solid, allowing 71.2 points per game, but Texas’ offensive efficiency at home presents a very different challenge than what the Gators typically see.

Situationally, this sets up as a classic value spot on the underdog. Florida has won seven straight and is drawing heavy public support, while Texas is coming off a loss that could sharpen focus rather than damage confidence. The Longhorns have been reliable against the number this season and tend to elevate their level against top-tier competition on their home court. In a matchup where both teams average over 85 points per game, getting the points with a high-powered home offense creates a valuable cushion. Expect Texas to keep this within a couple of possessions, making the points the sharper side tonight.

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