Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Utah -1½ +210 over NY Rangers

9:00 PM ET. Regulation only. The market loves logos, not truth. New York carries the Original Six shine, but peel back the layer and you’ll find a team generating nineteen shots a night and living off special-teams sugar highs. That’s not sustainable offense. That’s not even offense — that’s hanging on by your fingernails until somebody gifts you a power play. When a team is repeatedly stuck under 30 shots with no push at five-on-five, you’re looking at a club begging to be buried if the opponent shows even a pulse. And Utah is due to show one.

The Mammoth have dropped four straight, three of them in overtime, and absolutely nothing about the slide says “broken.” It says “regression.” Utah was scoring in bunches during their 8-2 start because they were driving play and finishing at normal levels. Now they’re generating similar looks and getting absolutely none of the payoff. The 41–26 scoring drought isn’t structural — it’s variance, plain and simple. This team didn’t fall off a cliff. The percentages did. Losing 4-1 to Vegas on Thursday looks ugly until you see what actually happened: one bad period, two goals in nineteen seconds, game script gone. That’s the kind of thing that fuels a losing streak, but it’s also the kind of thing that snaps instantly when the puck simply cooperates for an evening. You don’t fix luck — it fixes itself.

The Rangers, meanwhile, are the opposite. The goals they are scoring lately are coming from the power play because at even strength this team is drowning. Nineteen shots for the third straight game? That’s not a slump; that’s an identity. And when your offense consists of hoping J.T. Miller turns into Brett Hull for two nights a week, you’re not built to travel into Utah’s altitude and outplay a desperate, territorial home side.

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