Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
San Jose +115 over Utah
10:05 PM ET. OT included. We’re not here to admire Utah’s “process,” nor are we fooled by a team that finds new and creative ways to trip over its own shoelaces. The Mammoth just coughed up a regulation win with five seconds left and then lost in overtime to Anaheim — a collapse so on-brand that Andre Tourigny didn’t even waste energy sugarcoating it. Utah is playing slow, loose, and without conviction. That’s not a road profile you lay a price with.
San Jose, meanwhile, returns home after a three-game trip where the results were uneven, but the message from Ryan Warsofsky was loud and clear: clean up the Grade-A mistakes and the wins will follow. The coach identified four catastrophic breakdowns in Seattle — and when your bench boss pinpoints specific errors instead of launching into clichés, it usually means the issues are fixable, not systemic.
There’s also a quiet accountability shift happening in San Jose, and it matters. John Klingberg, a name-brand veteran who has traditionally lived off his résumé, might be a healthy scratch. That’s not punishment — that’s a message. When a coach starts scratching status players, it signals the room that the standard just got raised. Teams often respond immediately.
On home ice, the Sharks have actually been respectable: 4-3-3 at the Tank and generating far more territorial control than they get credit for. This is their comfort zone, and it’s the start of a four-game homestand where a good team would look to bank points. San Jose isn’t a good team, but they’re an honest one — and honest teams tend to thrive when motivation aligns with a winnable matchup.
Utah’s current form?
2-5-2 in its last nine. A team that dominates possession but can’t finish. A team that has to play again on short rest. A team that scores one sloppy goal, then chases the game for 55 minutes. The Mammoth’s structure isn’t broken, but their confidence is. And in this league, confidence is currency.
San Jose also gets Vitek Vanecek back in goal, and while his numbers aren’t glossy, the Sharks don’t need dominance — they need stability. Utah’s offense has far too many empty calories to justify being favored in this range, especially on the road in the second half of a back-to-back.
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Our Pick
San Jose +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)
