Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Calgary +115 over Winnipeg

10:07 PM ET.  OT included. When an NHL price looks “off,” we pay attention — and this one is waving flares. Winnipeg rolls into Calgary looking like a team begging for the buzzer on this road trip. The Jets have dropped four of five, all in regulation, and the losses all look the same: slow legs, sloppy exits, blown leads, and a bench wondering why they can’t string together more than 20 decent minutes.

Winnipeg blew a third-period lead in Seattle — something this group simply doesn’t do — and Scott Arniel didn’t sugarcoat it. The Jets’ “lockdown” identity vanished, execution was “really poor,” and they looked mentally fried. The schedule hasn’t helped, and now they’re dragging into Calgary for stop No. 6 on a miserable trip that can’t end soon enough. That’s not the mindset of a road favourite.

Calgary, meanwhile, is the NHL’s basement tenant in name only. Their underlying game has steadied for weeks — finishing has been the problem. And while beating the Sharks is nothing to frame above the mantel, the Flames finally played a full 60, dominated territorially early, and got elite goaltending late. That’s a blueprint you can repeat.

Most importantly, Calgary’s room isn’t dead. Blake Coleman said it himself: one win doesn’t fix anything, but a condensed schedule gives them a chance to rip off a run and get right back into the mix. That’s not delusion — that’s the awareness of a team that knows they’ve underperformed and finally showed signs of life.

The market still sees “Jets > Flames” because Winnipeg won the first two meetings. That’s fine. We see a team limping to the finish line of a road trip while Calgary, of all teams, is actually the one walking in with momentum.

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