Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Minnesota +230 Green Bay

1:00 PM ET. The market is acting like Green Bay is rolling, but last week was anything but a turning point. The Packers survived the Giants, nothing more, and they limped out of that building with more injury problems than answers. Jordan Love missed a big chunk of the game with multiple ailments, Josh Jacobs was knocked out, Tucker Kraft was already gone, and they still don’t have a healthy kicker. This is a football team piecing itself together with tape and prayers, yet we’re being asked to lay almost a touchdown? Come on.Minnesota is no picnic, but they’ve shown something in every loss. 

The Vikings have played five road games this year — all five have gone over the number because the defense is hanging on for dear life while the offense keeps dragging games into chaos. They should’ve beaten Chicago last week if not for some late-game self-sabotage. It’s now five straight losses, but they’ve been competitive in most of them, and you can’t say that about this Green Bay team that’s 1-7 ATS in its last eight.

The question, as always, is J.J. McCarthy. The turnovers have been brutal — five interceptions in three weeks — but if you watched that Chicago game, he was two different quarterbacks. In structure, he was tight, hesitant, and robotic. The minute O’Connell put him in the two-minute drill, suddenly he was ripping throws, moving defenders with his eyes, and playing free. The Vikings moved the ball at will when they stopped forcing him into that rigid “don’t make a mistake” box.

If O’Connell isn’t blind, he takes those concepts and builds the gameplan around them — tempo, rhythm, movement, and letting McCarthy throw with confidence instead of fear. And if Minnesota taps into that version of him, they’re absolutely live. Vikes outright.

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