Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Arizona +105 over Seattle

State Farm Stadium – Glendale, AZ

8:15 PM ET. Seattle has won two straight and just steamrolled the Saints 44-13, so the market happily jumped on board. Don’t be that guy. The Seahawks scored two non-offensive touchdowns last week (punt return + blocked punt setup), gained just 285 yards of total offense, and somehow looked like world beaters because New Orleans couldn’t get out of its own way. That’s not sustainable production, that’s noise.

Arizona, meanwhile, comes in off its first loss of the year — a one-point defeat at San Francisco in which they held the 49ers to 16 points and had a chance to win it at the horn. That’s not the profile of a team in over its head. Yes, James Conner going on IR stings, but Kyler Murray still has weapons and the Cards’ defense has been stout, ranking among the league’s best in scoring allowed.

Seattle is priced here like the better, steadier side. They are not. This is a team with Sam Darnold at QB and a special-teams outlier fresh in the boxscore. Arizona has been the far more structured team through three weeks, and being spotted a price at home in this spot is pure market generosity. Cardinals outright

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