Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
RADCLIFFE BOROUGH +120 (To Win in Full Time) over Chester City
Stainton Park – Radcliffe, Greater Manchester, England
National League North
United Kingdom Soccer
2:45 PM ET. Radcliffe Borough has never beaten Chester City in National League North play or in any prior clash between the two clubs. Historically, the Seals have owned this matchup outright. Forgetting about table positioning at the moment, that would suggest a very different price from what we’re seeing. Chester is widely regarded as a contender to gain promotion back into the National League, while Radcliffe is characterized as a club simply trying to survive its jump up from the Northern Premier League to the NLN. All of this collectively shapes public perception, and on optics alone the Seals look like a gift at +180 to win in ninety minutes. But that is precisely the trap.
Despite everything — the history, the bias, and the profile of both clubs — Radcliffe is the favorite. That is the only signal we need. When a team that has never beaten its opponent is installed as the chalk, the oddsmakers are telling you which side is actually the one to back, irrespective of narrative or reputation. Betting the Seals here is simply buying into legacy, not value.
For Radcliffe Borough, this is their spot. This is their opportunity — in their own backyard, against a Chester side that appears far more appealing on paper than in actuality — to finally crack the Seals and take a long-awaited three points. The market is leaning firmly on the Boro, and we are following suit. Boro take all three at Stainton Park.
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Our Pick
Radcliffe Borough (To Win in Full Time) +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)
