Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

BODO/GLIMT +210 (FT) over Tottenham Hotspur

Aspmyra Stadion – Bodø, Norway

UEFA Champions League

2:45 PM ET. This is a Europa League semi-final rematch, now staged on Europe’s biggest platform. Tottenham buried Bodø/Glimt 5-1 on aggregate last spring, rolling through them en route to lifting the Europa League trophy. That was Spurs’ launch pad into the Champions League. The Norwegians had to grind their way in the hard way — winning the Eliteserien outright — and here they are again, hosting the English powerhouse that embarrassed them.

The market is the tell. Spurs are a blue-blood Premier League outfit, fresh off silverware, and they dominated this matchup not five months ago. If oddsmakers truly believed a repeat was coming, Tottenham would be far heavier chalk. Instead, Bodø/Glimt are priced in a live-dog range, with the draw lined at +290. That signals expectation: someone is likely winning this in ninety. That makes the underdog’s number stand out.

Tottenham’s form and reputation are doing all the heavy lifting here. They’ve been steady in England, they already handled this opponent, and they wear the badge that casual bettors flock to. Spurs look like “easy money.” Which is exactly the bait. The books know the market will pile on them, especially at a short number. That’s not generosity — that’s the trap.

We’re not denying Tottenham’s class, but value is not in betting with the crowd. Bodø/Glimt’s home edge at Aspmyra is not lip service — this is a hostile trip north of the Arctic Circle, on an artificial pitch, in front of a partisan crowd that thrives on nights like this. Spurs may come in thinking repeat business, but the line is whispering otherwise.

This is the archetypal spot where a “nothing-to-lose” side swings big at home against a complacent heavyweight. The price gives us all the equity. The market is dangling Tottenham like candy, but we’ll side with the numbers. Bodø/Glimt to shock Spurs in ninety is our call.

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