Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

FC Utrecht +0.0 (Alternative Asian Handicap) +125 over Olympique Lyonnais

Stadion Galgenwaard – Utrecht, Netherlands

UEFA Europa League

3:00 PM ET. Lyon’s name is carrying the weight here, not their actual body of work. The market still leans on their domestic form and that ghost of a redemption arc from their last European campaign. That storyline has them overpriced, plain and simple.

Utrecht had to grind their way through qualification, but on home soil, this side is a nightmare to oppose. They’ve already logged six home fixtures this season, losing once, winning four, and showing that dogged “Cupfighter” mentality that makes them dangerous in one-off spots like this. Utrecht isn’t here to make up the numbers.

Oddsmakers have already told you what they think: Utrecht at -160 on the +0.5 Asian line is no accident. Lyon is overpriced as the supposed chalk, while Utrecht is very live to take all three points. At +125, we’re betting against the Lyon storyline and putting our money on Utrecht to deliver at home.

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