South Shields @ Curzon Ashton
Curzon Ashton (To Win in Full Time) +170 over South Shields

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

 

Curzon Ashton +170 (To Win in Full Time) over South Shields

Tameside Stadium – Ashton-under-Lyne, England

England National League North

12:30 PM ET. The market tells the story here. South Shields opened +140 and were quickly bet down to +125, a move that screams overreaction to the Mariners’ spotless profile. Top of the table, unbeaten in nine, and carrying the aura of inevitability, Shields look like the easiest play on the board. That’s precisely when the rug gets pulled.

Curzon Ashton’s résumé doesn’t look like much — 14th in the table, losers of their first four, and a side pegged for mid-table irrelevance. Yet, the opener had them at just +163, and that number drifting out to +170 tells us the Nash are live. There’s also a situational carrot: South Shields have Chorley on deck in both league and cup, which is where their focus will be. Trips like this, tucked between headline fixtures, are where complacency bites.

We’re not asking Ashton to suddenly morph into a promotion candidate. We’re asking them to be the overlooked home dog that takes advantage of a distracted giant. This is where upsets live.

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Our Pick

Curzon Ashton (To Win in Full Time) +170 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.40)