Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

HOUSTON +11½ over Texas Tech

TDECU Stadium – Houston, TX

7:00 PM ET. Texas Tech is the hot hand. They’re 4–0, just demolished Utah, and have bettors falling over themselves to back them. They’ve also beaten Houston six straight times. All signs point one way — which is exactly why we’re going the other.

Houston barely survived Oregon State last week, needing overtime to get it done. The market hated it, and their price reflects that. But the books didn’t hang +11½ because they think Tech is that much better — they hung it because they know the public will lay it.

Texas Tech’s stock is inflated to the moon. Houston’s is in the basement. That’s where value lives. The Cougars don’t need to win — they just need to be competitive, and they’ve got the talent to do it.]

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