Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Tennessee +4 -110 over Iowa St.

United Center - Chicago, IL

10:10 PM EST. Tennessee comes into this one as a bit of a forgotten team, but that’s exactly where they tend to thrive. They’re physical, they defend, and they’re comfortable playing in games that get a little ugly. Tennessee isn’t built to run you out of the gym—they’re built to wear you down. They rebound, they contest everything, and they make you earn every possession. When games tighten up and turn into half-court battles, this is a team that doesn’t blink.

Iowa State are no joke defensively either, and that’s what makes this matchup one worth looking at.They pressure the ball, force turnovers, and can flip momentum in a hurry. But offensively, they can go through stretches where things just stall out. When the game slows down and turns into a grind, Iowa State doesn’t always have that reliable gear to consistently create clean looks. Against a disciplined team like Tennessee, those scoring droughts become a real concern.

This is a classic “take the points” spot. You’ve got two defensive-minded teams, which usually means tighter margins and fewer possessions—exactly the kind of game where an underdog can hang around all night. Tennessee has the toughness and experience to match Iowa State punch for punch, and if this turns into a possession-by-possession battle late, grabbing the points becomes even more valuable. This has the feel of a one- or two-possession game, making Tennessee +4 the one worth putting your money on!

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