Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Lafayette +100 over Coastal Carolina

8:00 PM EST Louisiana enters this matchup riding a four-game winning streak, but the real betting value lies in how they’re winning, not just the streak itself. During this stretch, the Ragin’ Cajuns have shown improved balance offensively and much sharper execution late in games. They’ve hit 36.6% from three in conference play and are knocking down over 80% of their free throws over the last five contests — two key indicators of a team closing games with discipline. Defensively, they rank near the top of the Sun Belt in scoring defense in league games, allowing just 67.5 points per night. That profile — efficient shooting paired with consistent half-court defense — is exactly what you want when backing a home favorite looking to extend momentum.

Coastal Carolina comes in with a better overall record, but their recent triple-overtime win may inflate perception slightly. Needing three extra periods to escape at home raises questions about sustainability, especially now heading on the road into a tough conference environment. The Chanticleers have struggled historically in Sun Belt road night games, and their tendency to start slowly away from home is a concern against a Louisiana team that defends well early and forces opponents to execute in the half court. While Coastal has shown scoring punch, their defensive consistency on the road has been less reliable, particularly when facing teams that can space the floor and move the ball efficiently.

From a value standpoint, Louisiana at home offers the sharper angle because their recent improvements align well with Coastal’s weaknesses. The Cajuns are sharing scoring responsibilities — six different players have led them in points this season — which makes them harder to scheme against. Add in strong recent free-throw shooting and a favorable home setting at the Cajundome, and Louisiana is positioned to control tempo and win the possession battle. If they continue defending at a top-tier conference level and maintain their perimeter efficiency, they have the tools to not just win, but do so with margin. Backing Louisiana to take care of business at home provides the better value play tonight.

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