Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Binghamton @ Albany

6:30 PM EST. Albany’s profile is built on one of the weakest non-conference schedules in the country, inflating results that haven’t held up against stronger competition. Binghamton, by contrast, faced a significantly tougher slate early, giving them a résumé edge that isn’t reflected in the current line. Catching points against a schedule-built home favorite creates a clear value opportunity. Play: Binghamton +6 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2)

UTEP @ Delaware

7:00 PM EST. Delaware’s non-conference schedule ranks among the softest nationally, inflating a résumé that hasn’t been stress-tested. UTEP challenged itself against far stronger opposition, creating a significant experience gap that isn’t priced into a near pick’em. When the résumé edge is this large, taking the underdog outright offers the best value. Play: UTEP ML +115 (Risking 2 units to win 2.3)

Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern

7:00 PM EST. Georgia Southern’s numbers are heavily schedule-driven, built against one of the weakest non-conference slates in the country. Old Dominion has already faced far stronger competition, giving them a major résumé edge despite being priced as a clear underdog. Getting points against a schedule-inflated home favorite creates strong value. Play: Old Dominion +6 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2)

Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky

7:00 PM EST. Northern Kentucky’s efficiency profile is inflated by a weak non-conference schedule that hasn’t held up against better teams. Detroit Mercy has faced dramatically tougher competition, making the double-digit spread difficult to justify. This is a classic spot where the résumé gap suggests the game should be far closer than the line indicates. Play: Detroit Mercy +10 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2). 

UMKC @ South Dakota

8:00 PM EST. South Dakota’s results are propped up by a non-conference schedule that ranks well below national average. UMKC challenged itself early and owns a clear résumé edge that isn’t reflected in the current number. With the home team laying points, the underdog offers value. Play: UMKC +7½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2). 

Stony Brook @ Hofstra

7:00 PM EST. Stony Brook’s profile is largely built on one of the weakest non-conference schedules in the country, inflating results that haven’t held up against stronger opposition. Hofstra, playing at home, challenged itself early and owns a significantly tougher résumé that better reflects its true level. Laying a reasonable number in a home setting against a schedule-built opponent makes Hofstra a strong value favorite. Play: Hofstra -7½ (Risking 2.2 units to win 2)

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