Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Atlanta +115 over New York
NBA Playoff Series Game 4
Atlanta leads series 2-1
6:00 PM EST. The Hawks are starting to look like the team dictating this series, and heading back to State Farm Arena with a 2-1 lead puts them firmly in control of the tempo and confidence. Atlanta has now found consistent offensive flow, leaning on elite ball movement that ranked among the best in the league all season. That’s translating into high-quality looks, and more importantly, balance—multiple scoring options are stepping up, making it difficult for New York to key in defensively. In tight playoff games, that kind of depth becomes a separator, and it showed again in their narrow Game 3 win.
The Knicks, while still dangerous, are having real issues handling Atlanta’s pressure. Turnovers and late-game execution have cost them, and despite solid shooting numbers overall, they’re struggling to get clean possessions when it matters most. Defensively, New York’s lack of rim protection is becoming a bigger problem as the series progresses, especially against an Atlanta team that thrives on volume shooting and second-chance opportunities. Even with their strong regular season defensive metrics, the Knicks haven’t been able to consistently disrupt Atlanta’s offensive rhythm in this matchup.
At home, Atlanta has been a different team, and that trend is hard to ignore in this spot. With Jalen Johnson emerging as a matchup problem and CJ McCollum providing steady scoring, the Hawks have the edge in both confidence and execution right now. This series has been tight, but those small margins are consistently breaking Atlanta’s way, and that’s not by accident. With momentum, home-court advantage, and the more reliable offensive structure, the Hawks on the money line is the play to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.
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Our Pick
Atlanta +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)