Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

CHICAGO +6.5 over Minnesota

United Center – Chicago, IL

8:00 PM ET. At first glance, the number posted on this matchup looks softer than expected. Minnesota is widely regarded as one of the top teams in the Western Conference, and for good reason — they defend well, have top-tier talent, and carry a strong overall profile. However, their recent body of work reveals cracks that the market isn’t fully accounting for.

The Wolves have dropped games to Brooklyn and Denver, and not long before that, they were beaten by Memphis. None of those results are catastrophic on their own, but collectively they point to a recurring trait: Minnesota has a habit of playing down to the level of its opponent. Instead of imposing their will for four quarters, they allow games to become closer than they should be, creating opportunities for motivated underdogs to sneak in the back door or win outright.

Chicago is exactly the kind of team capable of capitalizing on that behavior. After a turbulent November where roles and rhythm fluctuated, the Bulls regrouped and steadied themselves. They put together a five-game winning streak before finally being cooled off by Milwaukee, but their recent stretch has featured a more cohesive offense and more efficient approach overall. Chicago’s style also sharpens substantially at home. Their role players shoot with more confidence, their pace control improves, and they execute far better late in games. That matters against a Minnesota team that sometimes drifts through stretches instead of stepping on the gas.

On paper, many bettors may default to Minnesota based on record, reputation, and star recognition. But that’s exactly where the trap lies. The line itself suggests caution — almost inviting action on the favorite while quietly signaling that the matchup is closer than it appears. This version of Chicago isn’t the chaotic early-season group. They’re composed, competitive, and capable of winning against high-level opponents — especially in their own building. Chicago is very live — and fully capable of winning this outright.

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