Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

TORONTO +105 ML over Cleveland

ScotiaBank Arena - Toronto, ON

7:00 PM ET. This is about recency bias. The Raptors haven't been prevalent in recent memory while the Cavaliers were the top seed in the East last season with a high-flying offense spearheaded by sharpshooters. That's cute.

The narrative entering this matchup will revolve around Cleveland’s explosive offense — a unit that can run, gun, and bury opponents in bursts. Casual bettors will gravitate toward that surface-level appeal. But if we peel back the layers and evaluate the matchup stylistically, Toronto may actually be the team better positioned to dictate terms. This is a question of whether the right side is being favored? The fact said side or Toronto in this case is doing so in Ontario, makes the play that much sweeter.

The Raptors are quietly playing some of the most efficient offensive basketball in the league. They’re shooting above 50% from the field on the season, an elite benchmark that only a handful of teams can match. Toronto’s 121 points per game isn’t a fluke — it’s a product of pace, spacing, and improved shot selection. Their offense doesn’t rely on one superstar eruption; it’s built on rhythm and balance. That makes them far less volatile compared to Cleveland who lives beyond the arc, and far more dangerous in a game where efficiency will matter.

Cleveland’s tempo-heavy, transition-oriented attack can overwhelm disorganized defenses, but that's if they are able to even do that. This is a basketball team that is always a cold night away from mediocrity and unless the Cavaliers shoot lights out, they are always at risk of getting buried. Toronto meanwhile has the tools to full advantage of such a scenario and did we also mention that they can match the scoring regardless? Cleveland is a great team to fade in spots which demand them to be near-perfect. This is one of those scenarios. Dinos straight up.

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